Game Result Predictions
Sunday, April 28
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Colorado Springs, CO | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Nevada (30-26, Road 14-11) |
3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 5 | +0.5 | 52% | ✔ | |
|
Air Force (26-26, Home 13-10) |
13 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 16 (3) |
6 | -0.5 | 48% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Fresno, CA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
New Mexico (23-28-1, Road 7-10-1) |
4 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 13 | ✔ | 3 | +6.0 | 19% | ✔ | |
|
Fresno State (40-16-1, Home 15-8-1) |
10 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 14 (1) |
9 | -6.0 | 81% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Thibodaux, LA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
San Jose State (20-34, Road 8-24) |
2 | 3 | +3.0 | 39% | 9 | ✔ | 3 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
|
Nicholls State (26-28, Home 19-11) |
3 | 6 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 5 (-4) |
5 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Paradise, NV | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
San Diego State (32-25, Road 12-11) |
11 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✘ | 5 | +0.5 | 52% | ✘ | |
|
UNLV (29-29, Home 19-12) |
4 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 15 (2) |
6 | -0.5 | 48% | |||